(by Joo, Seung-Ho)
This research explores the evolution of the Soviet Union's Korea
policy between 1985 and
1991, focusing on the correlation tween
Gorbachev's shifting
power position within the Soviet
leadership and the
development of the Soviet Union's new policy
toward the two Koreas.
Soviet leaders utilized policy issues
(foreign and domestic) to
mobilize support in their internal
power struggle.
Conversely, they needed to establish a firm
power base before
launching new policies. Thus, power and
policy in the Soviet
political system often enjoyed a mutually
reinforcing relationship,
and foreign policy issues became
entangled in the domestic
political process. As Gorbachev's
power position improved
and his reform policy (new political
thinking) was refined,
Soviet policy toward the two Koreas
correspondingly evolved
in three phases: (1) Gorbachev rising:
the formulation of the
new political thinking (March
1985-summer 1988); (2)
Gorbachev ascendant: the implementation
of new political thinking
(fall 1988-summer 1990); and (3)
Gorbachev in decline: the
continuing momentum of the new policy
(fall 1990-December
1991). In late 1990-1991, Soviet Korea
policy was characterized
by an undisguised tilt toward Seoul
Nevertheless, the Soviets
did not consider Soviet relations
with the two Koreas to be
a zero-sum game. Moscow sought to
establish a balanced
relationship with both Pyongyang and
Seoul, and hoped to play
an active role in peace and security
on the Korean peninsula.
In a span of six years, Gorbachev's foreign policy behavior against
a
backdrop of constantly shifting internal and external conditions
led
to revolutionary changes in international relations that were
tantamount to a general upheaval of seismic proportions. The
historic
changes sweeping across the world during this period transformed
Soviet relations with the two Koreas as well. In the pre-Gorbachev
era, Soviet foreign policy toward North and South Korea
unequivocally
tilted toward the North. Moscow had maintained friendly and
cooperative relations with Pyongyang based on identical ideological
interests and complementary strategic interests. On the other hand,
Moscow had continued to express a hostile attitude toward Seoul
while
allowing only limited private contacts with South Koreans. The
Soviets
had blindly supported North Korea's official policy and refused to
recognize South Korea as a legitimate member of the international
community.
After Gorbachev rose to power, Moscow's "love-hate
relationship" with
North and South Korea began to reverse. Moscow increasingly
alienated
its traditional ally--North Korea--and cultivated friendship and
cooperative relations with its former enemy--South Korea. This
research explores the evolution of the Soviet Union's Korea policy
between 1985 and 1991, focusing on the correlation between
Gorbachev's
shifting power position within the Soviet leadership and
developments
in the Soviet Union's new policy toward the two Koreas.
POWER AND POLICY IN SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY
Soviet leaders viewed the outside world through the ideological
prism
of Marxism-Leninism. Based on their own interpretation of
Marxist-Leninist ideology, they prescribed different strategies and
tactics for Soviet foreign policy. Gorbachev's "new political
thinking" on international relations contained new elements
that
radically departed from past interpretations of Marxist-Leninist
ideology.[1] New political thinking should be understood in the
broad
context of the Soviet leader's efforts to revitalize the Soviet
system
through reform. Under Gorbachev, domestic needs took precedence
over
foreign policy considerations.
Gorbachev's new political thinking inevitably affected the pattern
of
Soviet interactions with Northeast Asian countries, including the
two
Koreas. Moscow critically reevaluated its past policies toward
these
countries and sought to establish itself as a new actor in the
region.
The primary goal of this new policy was not to diminish the
influence
of the United States since Moscow now considered U.S.-USSR
cooperation
as its highest priority. Rather, it was primarily aimed at the
Soviet
Union as a new full-fledged member of the region that would share
its
prosperity. Gorbachev's Korean policy was an integral component in
the
overall restructuring of Soviet foreign policy and the
reestablishment
of its role in the international community.
The new political thinking vis-a-vis the two Koreas was as follows.
First, de-ideologization of Soviet foreign policy meant
de-emphasizing
ideological ties with its traditional ally, North Korea, which had
been a drain on its resources, and emphasizing economic and
political
ties with capitalist South Korea for economic gain and political
influence. Second, the renunciation of the principle that "war
is the
midwife of revolution" led the Soviets to object to the North
Koreans'
revolutionary war against the South. The possibility that a local
war
in Korea might escalate into an all-out war involving the Soviet
Union
precluded any Soviet involvement in North Korea's war efforts.
Third,
the principle of peaceful coexistence between different
socioeconomic
systems implied that the Soviet Union should recognize South Korea
as
a legitimate member of the international community. Thus, the new
political thinking called for the establishment of normal
state-to-state relations with South Korea.
Gorbachev's new foreign policy, like his overall reform program at
home, affected the interests of individual Soviet leaders
differently.
The nature of its impact (or perceived impact) on their material
interests and ideological values differed in degree and intensity
depending on the nature of the groups or groupings to which they
belonged. Those who saw hope and personal enhancement in
perestroika
and the new political thinking joined the reformers led by
Gorbachev.
Those who perceived drastic reform as a direct threat to their
interests formed an informal coalition against Gorbachev and his
reform policies.[2] The polarization within the Soviet leadership
extended to foreign policy issues.
Consequently, two opposing groupings of individual leaders and
institutions congealed into "the new political thinkers"
and "the old
political thinkers." The former grouping drew its membership
from
Gorbachev's inner circle, reform-minded academics, and
intelligentsia
who believed in political and diplomatic solutions to inter-state
conflicts on the basis of balance of interests and compromises.
They
emphasized the de-ideologization of Soviet foreign policy. The
membership of the latter grouping matched that of the
"military-industrial complex." The old political thinkers
considered
the world to be divided into two confronting political systems and
searched for ways to settle regional conflicts by strengthening the
military and political positions of socialism while weakening those
of
capitalism.
Soviet leaders were engaged in a constant struggle for power
because
the Soviet system lacked an institutionalized process of leadership
succession. In that absence of an orderly succession of leadership,
the Soviet Union inevitably became involved in the informal process
of
competition and maneuvering between opposing factional and
institutional leaders. Soviet leaders utilized policy issues
(foreign
as well as domestic) to attract potential allies and followers and
to
mobilize their support in their internal power struggle.
Conversely,
they needed to establish a firm power base and maintain widespread
support within the leadership before launching new policies,
especially if the new policies were to transform the overall
structure
of Soviet society, which would pose a direct threat to the power
and
interests of the "ruling" class. Thus, power and policy
in the Soviet
political system often enjoyed a mutually reinforcing relationship,
and foreign policy issues became entangled in the domestic
political
process.
As Gorbachev's power position improved and his reform policy (new
political thinking) was refined, Soviet policy toward the two
Koreas
was inevitably altered. Accordingly, Soviet policy toward the two
Koreas correspondingly evolved in three phases: (1) Gorbachev
rising:
the formulation of the new political thinking (March 1985-summer
1988); (2) Gorbachev ascendant: the implementation of new political
thinking (fall 1988-summer 1990); and (3) Gorbachev in decline: the
continuing momentum of the new policy (fall 1990-1991).
GORBACHEV RISING: THE FORMULATION OF NEW POLITICAL THINKING (MARCH
1985-SUMMER 1988)
Between March 1985 and summer 1988 the center of power and
authority
in the Soviet Union resided in the Communist Party of the Soviet
Union
(CPSU), particularly the Politburo and, to a lesser extent, the
Central Committee of the CPSU. Once appointed as general secretary
of
the party in March 1985, Gorbachev swiftly moved to consolidate
power
by skillfully winning allies and putting friends in important
positions and by removing his opponents and critics from power.
Power
was the ultimate means of bringing the new political thinking into
reality.
Consequently, Gorbachev's Soviet Union "experienced an
unprecedented
upheaval in turnover in its leadership, comparable only to the
dramatic turnovers during the mid-1930s, but without the tragedy of
the purges."[3] Gorbachev promoted his own appointees to
Politburo
membership, replacing Brezhnev holdovers. At the end of 1988, nine
of
the eleven full members (excluding Gorbachev) of the Politburo were
Gorbachev's appointees. All eight candidate members were his own
appointees and supporters.[4] The almost complete elimination of
Brezhnev holdovers from the Politburo did not result in a total
consensus on the new Soviet foreign policy within the leadership.
The
new Politburo members who had been appointed or promoted by
Gorbachev
had different ideas about the speed and extent of reforms to be
pursued by the Soviet Union. The Politburo was still torn.[5]
The Secretariat of the Central Committee also experienced high
turnover. Of the five senior secretaries (secretaries who were
simultaneously full members of the Politburo) in 1980, Gorbachev
was
the only survivor, and five of the six junior secretaries were
Gorbachev appointees. However, Gorbachev was less successful in
replacing the Central Committee with his own people; in the Central
Committee, only 60 percent of the full members and 44 percent of
the
candidate members brought in during 1981 were replaced in 1986.
Consequently, the Central Committee became a center of resistance
to
Gorbachev's reform.[6]
It was not until mid-1988 that Gorbachev consolidated his power
within
the Soviet leadership. Until then, he had to accommodate the
conservative leaders' position in regard to Soviet policy toward
East
Asian countries, including the two Koreas. During this period,
Soviet
foreign and security policy was determined by the majority opinion
of
the Politburo where the conservative hard-liners were challenging
his
power and obstructing his reform policies. Furthermore, internal
and
external conditions were not ready for a new policy in Korea.
Internally, the communist-dominated "old" society
remained largely
intact; externally, the cold war atmosphere still persisted. The
time
for the implementation of new political thinking in the Korean
peninsula had not yet arrived.
The first years of Gorbachev's reign were a transitional period in
Soviet policy toward the two Koreas from old thinking to new
thinking.
During this period, supporters of the two contradicting positions
coexisted, adding confusion and ambiguity to Soviet policy toward
the
Korean peninsula. As a natural corollary, Gorbachev's policy toward
the Korean peninsula in this period was largely a residual
continuation of his predecessor's.
In Search of a New Relationship with Seoul
Gorbachev does not seem to have had a clear-cut policy toward South
Korea in the first three years of his rule. Gorbachev's policy
toward
Seoul appears to have followed the "muddling through"
found in the
past.[7] Between 1985 and the summer of 1988, Gorbachev's new
political thinking vis-a-vis Seoul was being formulated at the
conceptual level. In the meantime, the Soviet Union was continuing
the
"old" policy toward Seoul, i.e., limited relations with
Seoul at the
unofficial level.[8]
Gorbachev's new political thinking called for the recognition of
existing realities. One of these realities was South Korea's rise
to
regional power status, sustained by its rapid economic growth.
Gorbachev's Vladivostok speech on July 26, 1986, expressed Soviet
readiness to develop relations with every state in the Asia-Pacific
region. By doing so, Gorbachev implied his willingness to improve
relations with South Korea. However, in his Vladivostok speech,
Gorbachev did not make any overtures toward Seoul, and mentioned
South
Korea only in the context of a possible regional settlement. In the
speech, Gorbachev was still expressing support for North Korea's
position on unification and on the nuclear-free zone on the Korean
peninsula.[9]
As late as May 1988, Moscow was still expressing concern about an
anti-Soviet military alliance among the United States, South Korea,
and Japan.[10] The expressed hostility toward Seoul was partly due
to
frustration about its deteriorating strategic position in Northeast
Asia, and partly intended to keep North Korea from tilting further
toward China.[11] Besides, it reflected the pervasive influence of
the
"old political thinkers" in Soviet society and the
intimate
party-to-party relationship between Moscow and Pyongyang.
Nevertheless, the Soviets steadily increased the level of
nonpolitical, unofficial contact with the South Koreans and
demonstrated a flexible and pragmatic attitude toward Seoul, that
reflected the increasing influence of Gorbachev and his new
political
thinking in the Soviet foreign policy community.[12] The Soviet
handling of a fishing boat violation in Soviet waters was a good
example. A South Korean fishing boat and its twenty-six crew
members
were seized by a Soviet naval vessel in October 1986, for operating
illegally within the Soviet 200-mile exclusive fishery zone. The
Soviet authorities showed a businesslike attitude in resolving this
matter and promptly released the crew members upon payment of a
fine.[13]
Another illustration of changing Soviet attitudes toward South
Korea
was the handling of the repatriation of the ethnic Koreans residing
on
Sakhalin Island. Whenever South Korea raised the question of
repatriation, Soviet officials in the past had replied that a
Korean
had not applied for repatriation. In March 1988, Soviet officials
stated in a newspaper interview that Korean residents in Sakhalin
could go to South Korea via Japan and could choose to live in South
Korea.[14] In December 1988, the Soviet Union allowed eighty-two
Koreans to return permanently to South Korea. Other evidence of the
Soviet Union's flexible and pragmatic policy toward Seoul was
Soviet
participation in various athletic competitions hosted by South
Korea.
From March 1985 until January 12, 1988, Moscow dispatched more than
thirteen different sports delegations to Seoul for competition in
South Korean sporting events. [15]
Economic exchanges were another indication of Soviet diplomatic
flexibility in dealing with Seoul. Indirect trade at the
nonofficial
level between the two countries steadily increased in 1985-1988.
The
total trade volume between Seoul and Moscow amounted to $57 million
in
1984. It more than doubled in 1985 to $122 million due mainly to
Gorbachev's increasingly flexible trade policy toward Seoul.
Bilateral
trade continued to increase, jumping from $164 million in 1987 to
$290
million in 1988.[16]
Residual Continuation of the Old Ties with Pyongyang
Gorbachev initially continued his predecessor's policy toward North
Korea, which revolved around bilateral military cooperation to
counter
the strategic encirclement of the Soviet Union in Northeast Asia.
Consequently, military cooperation between the two communist allies
increased conspicuously.
Kim Il Sung's five-day visit to Moscow that started on May 23,
1984,
was a turning point in Soviet-North Korean relations.[17] This was
Kim's first visit to Moscow since 1961.[18] After the visit, Moscow
resumed its shipment of advanced weapons and military equipment to
Pyongyang for the first time since 1973.[19] In exchange for these
advanced weapons, Moscow received direct access to North Korean
airspace and military facilities.
Soviet First Deputy Premier Gaidar Aliyev led the Soviet delegation
to
a celebration of the 40th anniversary of Korea's liberation in
August
1985.[20] Since brief visits by Premier Alexei Kosygin in 1965 and
President Nikolai Podgorniy in 1969, no high-ranking Soviet leader
had
visited Pyongyang. Gromyko was expected to visit Pyongyang, but
Aliyev
went instead. The Soviet delegation led by Aliyev consisted mainly
of
the elements of the military-industrial-party apparatus complex of
the
Soviet Union. Aliyev's hard-line rhetoric against the perceived
threat
to Soviet security reflected the functional and ideological
interests
of the complex, which emphasized military preparedness to counter
capitalist encirclement and ideological unity with socialist
countries, including North Korea.
Kim Il Sung made a five-day trip to Moscow in October 1986 for the
second time in two years. The summit signified efforts to renew and
increase mutual interests. Military matters almost certainly topped
the agenda. After Kim's visit in 1986, the Soviets agreed to supply
MiG-29 and SU-25 aircraft, SA-5 air defense missiles, and the Tin
Shield advanced radar designed for early warning, target
acquisition,
and ground control.[21] The supply of the sophisticated weapons
seems
to have been the price for Moscow's continuing access to North
Korea's
territory and military facilities; by November, Soviet military
utilization of North Korean airfields and ports increased visibly.
The Soviet quest for a closer military relationship with North
Korea,
however, did not derive from renewed Soviet interest in an
aggressive
and expansionist policy in East Asia, but by the same token, there
was
no sign that "Pyongyang was ready to become a stage for the
Soviet
Union to act out an aggressive role."[22] The two communist
allies
reached a common conclusion that a "marriage of
convenience" was
necessary due to their deteriorating strategic positions.
The two communist neighbors embraced one another for different
reasons. From the Soviet perspective, the supply of advanced
military
hardware and the resumption of economic assistance to Pyongyang
were
necessary to exercise political influence over North Korea and to
restore military balance on the Korean peninsula.[23] In
Pyongyang's
calculation, the tilt toward Moscow was deemed necessary to catch
up
with Seoul in military and economic modernization, place a brake on
China's tendency to increase contacts with Seoul, and free itself
from
the diplomatic isolation imposed upon it as a result of its
terrorist
activities.
Despite the seemingly harmonious relationship, Moscow and Pyongyang
had differences over Gorbachev's reform and North Korea's
succession
issue. Gorbachev's perestroika and new political thinking were
frowned
upon and opposed by North Korea. During Kim Il Sung's visit to
Moscow
in 1986, Gorbachev reportedly lectured him on the deplorable state
of
North Korea's economy: "Kim was literally called to the
Kremlin and
was told by Mr. Gorbachev to improve his economy. In fact, Kim got
the
same kind of scolding as Truong Chinh (the Vietnamese chief who
succeeded Le Duan) for mismanagement of the economy and mishandling
Soviet aid."[24] Furthermore, the Soviets refused to openly
endorse
the succession of North Korean President Kim Il Sung's son and
anointed heir, Kim Jong II. Soviet scholars openly criticized Kim
Il
Sung's political ideas, and claimed that the idea of Chuche
(self-reliance) was diametrically opposed to the "new
political
thinking."[25]
Military exchanges between Moscow and Pyongyang continued into
1987-1988. In May 1987, the commander-in-chief of the Soviet Navy,
Admiral Vladimir Chernavin, led a naval delegation to North
Korea.[26]
A detachment of Soviet warships under the flag of Admiral G. A.
Khavatov, commander of the Pacific Fleet, visited the Port of
Wonsan
in May 1988, on an official friendly visit.[27] Moscow's military
moves in North Korea suggested that Gorbachev's leadership had not
yet
departed from Brezhnev's longstanding policy of acting as a
stabilizer
on the peninsula.
From 1985 to early 1988, Soviet foreign policy toward the two
Koreas
was in transition. New Soviet leader Gorbachev was groping for a
new
relationship with Seoul and Pyongyang. The Kremlin was redefining
its
national interests in East Asia. Gorbachev began to critically
reassess its traditionally friendly ties with Pyongyang, which had
been a political and economic bur, den to his country, and to
search
for increased economic ties with Seoul, which would benefit his
reform
policy.
The Soviet Union upgraded its relations with Pyongyang while
increasing economic exchanges with Seoul at the unofficial level.
This
seemingly contradictory policy may be ascribed to two factors.
Gorbachev had not yet firmly established a new policy toward North
and
South Korea, although he clearly enunciated the broad framework for
the new Soviet policy in the Asia-Pacific region. Furthermore, he
had
yet to firmly consolidate power within the Soviet leadership, and
consequently faced formidable opposition and resistance to a
reformist
foreign policy.
GORBACHEV ASCENDANT: THE IMPLEMENTATION OF NEW POLITICAL THINKING
(FALL 1988-SUMMER 1990)
By mid-1988, General Secretary Gorbachev had established himself as
the predominant leader in the Kremlin. Still, his reform program
was
obstructed by persistent resistance from conservative party
leaders.
Gorbachev came to realize that the powers of party general
secretary
were not adequate to implement his reform policy successfully and
that
the communist party apparatus was not the vehicle for a solution,
but
part of the problem. In 1988-1990, the Soviet leader shifted the
power
center from the party to the state by restructuring party and state
institutions and creating new structures and, by doing so, tried to
further enhance his power position and promote his reform program.
The 19th All-Union Party Conference of June 1988 introduced drastic
changes in the party structure.[28] Gorbachev substantially
weakened
the power of the Central Committee Secretariat through structural
changes at the Central Committee Plenum in September 1988, in order
to
eliminate the resistance of the party machine to his reform.[29]
In late 1988, Gorbachev moved to assume direct control over the
state
organs. The first sign came with Gorbachev's election as chairman
of
the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet in October 1988, whereby he
assumed the role of head of state while retaining the position of
general secretary. After assuming the chairmanship of the Presidium
of
the Supreme Soviet, Gorbachev pushed through the adoption of
proposals
to create new legislative bodies--the Congress of People's Deputies
and a restructured Supreme Soviet, whose members were elected by
the
Congress of People's Deputies. In May 1989, the newly created
Congress
of People's Deputies elected Gorbachev as chairman of the Supreme
Soviet (the new legislative body), thereby granting broad domestic
and
foreign policymaking powers to the Soviet leader. Finally, at the
initiative of Gorbachev, the USSR Congress of People's Deputies
approved the creation of an executive presidency and abolition of
the
communist party's monopoly of power in March 1990,[30] and elected
Gorbachev the first executive president of the country. As
president
of the Soviet Union, Gorbachev was accorded a wide range of
executive
powers. The creation of the presidency shifted the center of power
from the party to state authority. The communist party was deprived
of
its monopoly of power and became a political party within a system
that still did not allow other political parties to function.
As Gorbachev accumulated power through personnel changes and by
restructuring the Soviet political process and system, his new
political thinking was being sequentially implemented into Soviet
foreign policy. Soviet policy toward the Korean peninsula
transformed
accordingly.
Realization of Gorbachev's New Policy Toward Seoul
During 1988-1990 objective national interests and economic gains,
instead of ideological principles and geostrategic considerations,
became the driving force behind a new Soviet policy toward Seoul.
The economic complementarily of South Korea and the Soviet Union
contributed to a mutual interest in economic cooperation and trade.
The Soviet Union possessed potential markets and rich natural
resources (especially in East Siberia and the Maritime Province),
as
well as high-level basic technology and science, while South Korea
had
consumer goods, industrial technology, and marketing experience.
The
Soviet Union was an especially attractive partner for South Korea
as a
source of raw materials, including natural gas, coal, and oil.
Moscow
intended to channel South Korea's investment into the development
of
natural resources, the creation of a social infrastructure in the
Soviet Far East, and increased production of consumer goods.
The potential for mutually beneficial economic relations was not
the
only factor that prompted Soviet economic cooperation with Seoul.
The
stagnation in Soviet-Japanese trade contributed to Moscow's move
toward closer economic ties with Seoul. Despite repeated requests
from
the Soviet Union to participate in development projects in Siberia,
Japan refused to make a substantial investment in the region for
political reasons. The Japanese insisted on the return of the four
disputed Kurile Islands, which were seized by the Soviet Union
after
World War II, as the precondition for starting massive economic
cooperation with the Soviet Union. The Soviets were hoping that
South
Korean-Soviet economic cooperation would not only replace Japan's
role
but also exert pressure on Japan to reconsider its position.[31]
Furthermore, Gorbachev was eager to join the Asia-Pacific community
with the help of South Korea. In his scheme, South Korea would
serve
as the bridge linking the Soviet Union with those in the dynamic
economic club in the Pacific rim.
In 1988, the economic relations with Seoul that had been maintained
at
the private, unofficial level developed into formal relations. In
his
Krasnoyarsk speech on September 16, 1988, Gorbachev noted for the
first time his willingness to develop economic ties with Seoul:
"I
think that, in the context of the general improvement of the
situation
on the Korean peninsula, possibilities may open up for establishing
economic ties with South Korea."[32] The statement symbolized
the
application of the new political thinking to relations with South
Korea. In fact, the idea of building economic relations with Seoul
had
long been considered by the Soviet leadership.[33]
Tho Seoul Olympiad, held on September 17-October 3, 1988, provided
a
good excuse for the Soviets to establish political contacts with
the
South Koreans. Moscow's decision to participate in the Seoul
Olympics
was secretly reached in November 1985 when sports ministers from
thirteen Soviet-bloc nations met in Vietnam. "Publicly, they
declared
their support for Pyongyang's demand for co-hosting but privately
they
decided to attend the Seoul Games, no matter what finally
happened."[34] On January 11, 1988, Moscow officially
announced its
intention to participate in the 24th Olympiad in Seoul.[35]
Pyongyang's vehement protests notwithstanding, Gorbachev decided to
participate in the Seoul Olympics in order to seek new
opportunities
in Seoul even at the risk of neglecting Soviet obligations toward
North Korea. Soviet participation in the Olympic games was based on
a
number of considerations: Moscow did not want to damage improving
relations with the West and Asia by boycotting the Olympics; the
remarkable economic performance and skilled diplomacy of South
Korea
favorably affected the Soviet decision to join the Seoul Olympics;
and
Seoul also was viewed as an attractive trading partner and economic
model for the Soviet economy.[36]
However, the Soviet elite was still divided between the new
political
thinkers, who energetically promoted closer ties with Seoul, and
the
conservative leaders, who were reluctant to fully endorse Moscow's
new
policy toward Seoul. First, Soviet media coverage of South Korea
prior
to and during the Seoul Olympics indicates that Soviet society was
not
fully open-minded toward South Korea. Throughout the run-up to the
Olympics, no informative material appeared in the Soviet media
beyond
the current political events occurring in the host country.[37]
Second, the decision by the Soviet authorities to print
commemorative
stamps for the 24th Seoul Olympiad without mentioning the host
city,
Seoul, was another sign of the persistent influence of the
conservative leaders in the USSR.[38]
Nevertheless, the Seoul Olympiad served as the catalyst for
improved
relations between Moscow and Seoul. The exchange of trade offices
between the Korean Trade Promotion Corporation (KOTRA) and the
Soviet
Chamber of Commerce and Industry (CCI) that followed soon after the
Olympics was a direct result of government-to-government contacts
and
negotiations between the two countries prior to and during the
Seoul
Olympiad.[39] For all practical purposes, the Soviet Union granted
de
facto recognition to South Korea when it exchanged trade offices
endowed with consular functions. The Soviet side, however,
emphasized
the unofficial nature of the trade offices, claiming that the
Soviet
CCI, which had reached the agreement with the South Korean side,
was
not a government organization.[40]
Soon thereafter, however, Moscow expressed its intention to upgrade
its relations with Seoul to a political level. In an effort to
initiate political relations with Seoul, the Kremlin decided to
invite
to Moscow Kim Young Sam, president of the opposition Reunification
Democratic party (RDP). Subsequently, Kim Young Sam in his capacity
as
the president of the opposition Reunification Democratic party (RDP)
visited Moscow on June 2-10, 1989, at the invitation of the IMEMO
(the
Institute for World Economics and International Relations of the
USSR
Academy of Sciences)[41] Kim's Moscow visit marked the beginning of
the normalization process between the two countries. During Kim's
visit, the Soviets agreed in principle to normalize relations with
Seoul. However, at that time, a detailed discussion was not held in
regard to a concrete timetable for the normalization.[42]
The exchange of consular departments was another significant step
toward Moscow-Seoul normalization. The two countries agreed to
exchange diplomats who would establish consular departments in
Moscow
and Seoul by endowing the two countries' trade missions, which had
opened earlier, with consular functions.[43] The Soviet side
maintained that the exchange of consular departments did not imply
the
establishment of official consular relations with Seoul. Although
the
exchange of consular departments clearly indicated the political
relations between the two countries, the bilateral relations
remained
at the nonofficial level as long as the Kremlin insisted on the
non-official nature of the relationship.
In early 1990, the Kremlin openly expressed its willingness to
establish a formal diplomatic relationship with Seoul. The real
breakthrough occurred during Kim Young Sam's second visit to Moscow
on
March 20-27, 1990. In contrast to his first Moscow visit, Kim was
invited in his capacity as co-chairman of South Korea's ruling
Democratic Liberal party (DLP).[44]By inviting a leader of South
Korea's ruling party, the Kremlin clearly recognized the political
entity of the Republic of Korea. Furthermore, Gorbachev expressed
his
belief that no obstacle existed to diplomatic relations between the
two countries.[45] Nevertheless, the Kremlin did not provide a
clear
timetable for normalization.
In fact, the timing of normalization emerged as a thorny issue
between
the two countries because of their different goals and priorities.
South Korea's goal was to conclude final diplomatic relations with
the
USSR at the earliest date as part of its nordpolitik.[46] The South
Koreans believed that economic profits were secondary to political
gain, i.e., diplomatic relations. Therefore, Seoul preferred to go
directly to ambassador-level diplomatic ties without going through
consulate-level ties.
On the other hand, the Soviets were interested primarily in the
successful implementation of their reform program and Siberian
development. The Soviets were eager to first get a commitment from
South Korea to provide investment and technology to improve their
deteriorating economy. By this time, the Kremlin had clearly
discarded
its previous position on a strict separation between economics and
politics, and was pursuing a new policy vis-a-vis South Korea that
linked economics and politics. The Soviets now tried to extract as
many economic concessions from South Korea as possible, in exchange
for granting diplomatic recognition to the country.
Kim's second Moscow visit was soon followed by the first summit
between South Korean President Roh Tae Woo and Soviet President
Gorbachev in June 1990 in San Francisco. At the San Francisco
meeting,
the two presidents agreed in principle on the exchange of
diplomatic
recognition. On September 30, 1990, a South Korean-Soviet foreign
ministerial meeting was held at the UN and diplomatic relations
were
formalized.
The movement of Soviet foreign policy toward normalization with
Seoul
since 1988 can be seen as a result of Gorbachev's strengthened
power
position and the victory of his new political thinking.[47]
Gorbachev's new policy toward South Korea met, however, with
substantial resistance from conservative Soviet leaders. The
"military-industry-party apparatus complex" opposed the
new policy
concerning South Korea. When Novoe Vrerniya published its interview
with South Korean politician Kim Young Sam in October 1988,
Ignatenko,
its chief editor, received numerous phone calls complaining about
the
editorial decision.[48] The invitation to Kim Young Sam for a
Moscow
visit was approved by the Central Committee following a
controversial
debate. Furthermore, the Politburo was split over the issue of
normalization with Seoul, as Aleksandr Yakovlev revealed.[49]
Widening Distance in Moscow-Pyongyang Relations
Soviet reform policy and its tilt toward Seoul emerged as the major
source of conflict and friction in Moscow-Pyongyang relations in
1988-1990. Nevertheless, the Kremlin chose not to totally alienate
Pyongyang; instead it sought to maintain political influence
through
diplomatic persuasion and military/economic assistance. During this
period, Soviet diplomatic efforts vis-a-vis Pyongyang were
remarkable
in two respects: (1) the efforts to persuade Pyongyang's hard-line,
conservative communists to adopt Soviet-style reform, and (2) the
continued consultations with North Korean leaders in an effort to
allay their anxiety and misgivings in regard to Seoul-Moscow
normalization.
The Soviets made deliberate efforts to keep the North Koreans
informed
about the new policy toward Seoul and sought Pyongyang's
understanding
in advance. The Soviets discussed their participation in the 1988
Seoul Olympics beforehand with the North Koreans. In an attempt to
assuage Pyongyang's anxiety over Soviet participation in the Seoul
Olympics, the Kremlin reassured North Korean Foreign Minister Kim
Young Nam, who was visiting Moscow in May 1988, of its intent not
to
establish a diplomatic relationship with Seoul.[50]
Parallel with consultations, the Soviets attempted to persuade the
North Koreans to adopt reform policies. KGB chief Viktor Chebrikov
was
sent as head of the Soviet delegation for the 40th anniversary of
North Korea's founding in September 1988 to discourage Pyongyang
from
disrupting the Seoul Olympics.[51] While in Pyongyang, the Soviets
repeatedly underlined the importance of political thinking in the
current international environment and underscored peaceful
settlement
of the Korean problem.[52]
Shevardnadze's visit to Pyongyang in December 1988 was intended to
increase North Korea's understanding about .the direct economic
relations between Seoul and Moscow that rapidly expanded after the
Seoul Olympics. At that time, the Soviet foreign minister assured
North Korean leaders that, despite the direct economic relations,
his
country would not establish a formal diplomatic relationship with
Seoul.[53] The North Korean leadership apparently accepted the
inevitable movement toward closer economic relations between Moscow
and Seoul. Thereafter, Pyongyang shifted its policy directions from
thwarting any official contacts between Seoul and Moscow to foiling
Soviet diplomatic recognition of Seoul.[54]
The issue of Seoul-Moscow normalization became a source of great
friction between Moscow and Pyongyang. On September 2-3, 1990,
Shevardnadze visited Pyongyang after his trip to China to inform
the
North Korean leadership of the imminent conclusion of diplomatic
ties
with Seoul. After Shevardnadze informed North Korean leaders of
Soviet
policy to open diplomatic ties with Seoul, he received a six-item
memorandum from the North Korean side that listed grounds for
opposing
the Soviet move. Among others, the memorandum indicated North
Korea's
willingness to develop nuclear weapons if the Soviet Union opened a
diplomatic relationship with South Korea.[55]
The Soviet Union continued its strategic cooperation with the DPRK.
Moscow continued to supply new-type weapons to North Korea in
19881990.[56] A continued shipment of military items from Moscow to
Pyongyang partly resulted from earlier commitments[57] and partly
stemmed from the persistent influence of the
military-industrial-party
apparatus complex within Soviet society that favored continuing
military ties with North Korea. The Soviets also probably wanted to
maintain some degree of political influence over the recalcitrant
ally
while restoring the military balance on the Korean peninsula that
was
tilting in Seoul's favor.[58]
GORBACHEV IN DECLINE: THE CONTINUING MOMENTUM OF NEW POLICY (FALL
1990-1991)
The domestic crisis that loomed large by late 1990 increasingly
narrowed Gorbachev's latitude of policy choice. Deteriorating
economic
conditions at home and the spreading secessionist movements by
various
constituent nationality groups within the Soviet Union posed a
direct
threat to its territorial integrity and constitutional order. Over
the
years, the Soviet leader destroyed the "old system" by
undermining the
authority of the CPSU and the centrally planned economic system
without creating a viable alternative. Through his reforms,
Gorbachev
inadvertently encouraged a radical devolution of central power to
the
republics and regional governments and eventually destroyed the
very
political structure on which his own power depended.[59] The
potentially formidable powers of the president as stipulated in the
new Soviet Constitution became increasingly unusable. It is
paradoxical that the moment. Gorbachev's constitutional power
reached
its apex, his real power began to erode rapidly.
Faced with domestic turmoil and crisis, Gorbachev turned to
conservative forces in fall 1990. Gorbachev changed his policy
goals
from perestroika and glasnost to social order and territorial
integrity. Gorbachev's highest priority now shifted from the
implementation of a reform policy to preservation of his political
power and arresting of the Soviet Union's disintegration.
Gorbachev's
lean toward the right became obvious by November 1990. As a result,
the conservative hard-liners gained considerable influence over
Soviet
policy, both domestic and external.[60] In spring 1991, Gorbachev
again shifted to a neutral position between right-wing
conservatives
and left-wing reformists. The Soviet leader made a last-ditch
effort
to arrest further devolution of power from the center to the
republics
and to reverse the secessionist movements sweeping throughout the
country by concluding a new union treaty with Republican leaders
that
would form a new type of Soviet federalism, replacing the 1924
Union
Treaty. Under the new union treaty, the power and autonomy of the
republics were to increase substantially and the authority of the
central government was to be reduced substantially. The
conservatives
found the new union treaty to be a direct threat to their own
interests. In August 1991, when the conclusion of a new union
treaty
was imminent, the "military-industrial-party apparatus
complex"
rebelled and attempted a military coup against Gorbachev. After the
abortive coup, power and political authority further shifted from
the
center to the Soviet constituent republics and secessionist
movements
intensified throughout the country. Gorbachev became incapacitated
as
the Soviet leader and Boris Yeltsin, president of the Russian
republic, emerged as the most powerful political figure in the
Soviet
Union and completely overshadowed Gorbachev. Finally, the state of
the
Soviet Union ceased to exist after the leaders of the three Slavic
republics formed the Commonwealth of Independent States on December
8,
1991, declaring their independence from the Soviet Union.
The internal crisis during this period led Gorbachev to became
increasingly preoccupied with domestic problems. Soviet foreign
policy
became increasingly de-ideologized, leaving the Kremlin without
specific guidelines for foreign policy. Consequently, Gorbachev's
new
foreign policy was set adrift. During this period, the new
political
thinking increasingly became obsolete as a guide to Soviet foreign
policy as improvised pragmatism took over.
Forging Cooperative Relations with Seoul
After the relations between Moscow and Seoul normalized in
September
1990, Gorbachev's policy toward Seoul centered around economic
issues:
early implementation of pledged South Korean economic assistance to
the Soviet Union, and an expansion of trade and economic
cooperation.
In the midst of rapidly deteriorating economic conditions and
political instability at home, Gorbachev turned to foreign
countries,
including South Korea, for economic assistance that was deemed
necessary to boost his political influence and authority.
South Korean President Roh Tae Woo paid a four-day official visit
to
Moscow in December 1990 to hold the second summit with Gorbachev.
During the Moscow summit, the two sides firmly established a legal
and
institutional framework for bilateral relations by signing the
intergovernmental documents that contained the concrete thrusts of
the
bilateral ties.[61] The third summit between Roh and Gorbachev took
place on Cheju Island off the southern coast of South Korea in
April
1991. Gorbachev's Cheju visit resulted in numerous agreements and
promoted further friendly ties between Seoul and Moscow.
Gorbachev's
primary concern was the promotion of bilateral economic cooperation
and trade. Gorbachev asked Rob to multiply bilateral trade and to
expedite pledged economic aid to the Soviet Union. The two agreed
to
multiply trade tenfold over the next five years in order to assist
the
Soviet Union's faltering economy.[62]
In return for economic cooperation, Rob sought Gorbachev's help in
securing peace on the Korean peninsula. Roh's major concern was to
secure Soviet support for South Korea's bid to join the UN and
Soviet
cooperation for the resolution of North Korea's nuclear weapons
development program.
In the past, the Kremlin had blindly supported North Korea's
objection
to the two Koreas' separate entries into the UN. The exchange of
diplomatic ties between Seoul and Moscow in September 1990,
however,
made Soviet objections to South Korea's entry into the UN obsolete.
The Soviet Union's recognition of South Korea as a member of the
international community made it unlikely that it would veto South
Korea's bid to join the international organization as a member of
the
world community. During the Cheju summit in April 1991, Roh and
Gorbachev agreed that if North Korea continued its objection to the
simultaneous admission of the two Koreas into the UN, it would be
necessary for the ROK to join the UN alone.[63] Gorbachev endorsed
South Korea's campaign to gain membership in the United Nations.
Subsequently, Seoul and Pyongyang applied for UN membership as
separate political entities and became members of the international
organization in the fall of 1991.
The Kremlin also showed keen interest in North Korea's nuclear
development program and made sincere efforts to prevent the
recalcitrant regime from acquiring nuclear bombs. The prospects of
nuclear-armed North Korea at its Far Eastern border were terrifying
to
the Soviet leaders.
North Korea started its nuclear development program with Soviet
help
in the early 1960s at Yongbyon, some sixty miles North of
Pyongyang.[64] North Korea's nuclear program depended heavily on
technology and nuclear materials from the Soviets. The Soviets
offered
to supply North Korea with nuclear technology and materials in
exchange for the North's signing the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty
(NPT). Subsequently, North Korea signed the NPT in December 1985.
By
doing so, Pyongyang pledged not to manufacture or acquire any
nuclear
weapons. After signing the NPT, North Korea delayed signing a
safeguards agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA) for international inspection of its nuclear facilities and
materials, disregarding its obligation to do so within eighteen
months
of signing the NPT. North Korea accelerated its nuclear weapons
development program independently, after the Soviet Union cut its
material and technical support for Pyongyang's nuclear program in
1990. Boris Pankin, Soviet foreign minister, revealed in October
1991,
that the Soviet Union had urged North Korea to sign the nuclear
safeguards accord at an early date during contacts at all levels,
and
stated that it would continue to urge Pyongyang to do so.[65]
Sharp Reductions in Moscow's Aid to Pyongyang
In late 1990-1991, the Kremlin was seeking to reestablish its
relationship with Pyongyang. The prominent changes in bilateral
relations included drastically reduced aid from Moscow to Pyongyang
and reinterpretation of the bilateral military alliance treaty of
1961.
After normalization between Seoul and Moscow, Soviet relations with
North Korea continued to degenerate. To the Soviets, Pyongyang was
no
longer a military ally, but a normal neighboring state.[66] Between
Foreign Minister Shevardnadze's visit in early September 1990 and
Russian President Yeltsin's special envoy Igor Rogachev's visit in
January 1992, no high-ranking Soviet official went to North Korea.
The
lack of high-ranking personnel exchanges was a good indication of
friction between the two countries.
Moscow did not discard its ties with Pyongyang completely; it chose
to
maintain some ties with North Korea. The Soviets were still
providing
limited economic and military aid to the North Koreans in order to
retain some political influence over the recalcitrant regime and to
maintain military balance on the Korean peninsula. Nevertheless,
the
amount of Soviet aid to Pyongyang decreased drastically after 1990
as
a result of Seoul-Moscow normalization and deteriorating economic
conditions in the USSR. Economic ties with North Korea had been a
drain on the Soviet economy. By April 1991, North Korea's debt to
the
Soviet Union amounted to $4.6 billion.[67] In the past, Pyongyang
could pay in its own currency (won) or get credit for imports. From
January 1991 on, the Soviet Union demanded payment in hard currency
in
accordance with a trade agreement signed between the two countries
in
November 1990. This seriously hurt North Korea's economy, as more
than
fifty percent of its total annual trade up to 1991 was with the
USSR.
Bilateral trade dropped sharply to 400 million rubles in 1991 from
1.34 billion rubles in 1990. During the first half of 1991, the
North's crude oil imports from the Soviet Union were 45,000 tons,
compared with 440,000 tons in the same period of the previous
year.[68]
After Seoul-Moscow normalization, a reexamination of the 1961
Treaty
of Friendship, Cooperation, and Mutual Assistance between the USSR
and
North Korea emerged as a delicate issue in the Seoul-Moscow
relationship. South Korea expressed strong misgivings about Article
1
of the treaty, which stipulated automatic military involvement of
the
parties in case of war.[69] The automatic involvement clause has
been
considered a threat to the security of East Asia because
inter-Korean
conflicts were likely to escalate into international conflicts
involving major powers.
In January 1991, a Soviet military delegation led by First Deputy
Defense Minister General Konstantin Kotechev, while visiting
Pyongyang, stated that the treaty of mutual assistance with
Pyongyang
should be administered in accordance with the national interests of
the two countries.[70] In late December 1991, Russian Foreign
Ministry
official Valeri Ermolov stated that dissolution of the Soviet Union
would inevitably lead to a review of the 1961 treaty with Pyongyang
and that Article 1 of the treaty should be revised or
eliminated.[71]
Russian officials concurred with the South Koreans that Article 1
should be reinterpreted in view of the changed circumstances of the
relationship. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Panov further
clarified
that Russia would come to the aid of North Korea only when the
latter
was under "unprovoked attack."[72]
Soviet-North Korean military cooperation continued in early 1991,
but
at a substantially reduced scale. The Soviet Union ceased joint
military exercises with North Korea after 1989 and stopped
supplying
North Korea with offensive weapons after establishing diplomatic
ties
with Seoul in September 1990.[73] The Soviet Union repeatedly
pronounced its intention to continuously sell defensive weapons to
North Korea in order to maintain a military balance on the Korean
peninsula.[74]
Gorbachev's vacillation from the right to the center between fall
1990
and August 1991 and all the domestic turmoil and upheavals
following
the abortive coup of August 1991 did not leave a visible mark on
Soviet foreign policy toward the two Koreas. Five factors
contributed
to the relative continuity and consistency of the Soviet Union's
Korea
policy during this period. First, Seoul and Moscow had developed
interdependent and mutually beneficial economic ties. Because Seoul
had already pledged $3 billion in economic aid to the USSR,
Seoul-Moscow relations were economically beneficial to the Soviet
Union. Expansion of economic relations with Pyongyang would simply
increase the burden on the Soviet economy.
Second, unlike the Soviet relationship with Japan, there were no
salient issues between the Soviet Union and South Korea that might
become a source of conflict, except North Korea's displeasure,
which
was marginalized. Thus, Soviet policy toward Seoul was hardly
susceptible to domestic pressure from conservative and
ultra-nationalist leaders who advocated the maintenance of law and
order internally and the preservation of territorial integrity and
the
restoration of the powerful Soviet empire externally. The
cooperative
and relatively stable relations between Moscow and Seoul during
this
period were in stark contrast to the friction and fluctuations in
Moscow-Tokyo relations resulting from the increasingly formidable
influence of conservative leaders and Russian nationalist groups
who
constantly obstructed the Kremlin's efforts to reach a compromise
on
the Kurile Islands issue.
Third, the gap between the Soviets and the North Koreans in terms
of
mutual attitudes and perceptions was widening as Soviet society
democratized and adopted political pluralism while North Korean
society stuck to a totalitarian communist system. Furthermore, the
traditional friendship that characterized Moscow-Pyongyang
relations
was evaporating rapidly as the ideological unity and party-to-party
connections between the two former communist countries was no
longer
relevant after the disempowerment of the CPSU and economic reform
in
the Soviet Union.[75]
Fourth, once Moscow and Seoul established a formal diplomatic
relationship through a mutual exchange of recognition, there was no
way to return to the past. Juridically, Soviet recognition of the
ROK
as a legitimate political entity was irreversible. After
Moscow-Seoul
normalization, the Soviet Union maintained normal state-to-state
relations with South Korea, which practically precluded the
possibility of returning to the "honeymoon" with North
Korea it had
experienced during the cold war era.
Finally, Pyongyang's nuclear issue remained the major obstacle to
the
improvement of Pyongyang-Moscow relations. The prospects of nuclear
proliferation on the Korean peninsula and the resultant military
buildup and instability in Northeast Asia loomed large in Moscow's
strategic calculations. Since stability and nuclear
nonproliferation
on the Korean peninsula and Northeast Asia are Gorbachev's highest
priority, his endeavor to re-establish a normal relationship with
North Korea was overshadowed by the North Korea nuclear issue.
CONCLUSION
Soviet foreign policy was closely related to Gorbachev's power
position within the leadership. A new foreign policy based on the
new
political thinking could be implemented only after Gorbachev
amassed
enough power to overrule the old political thinkers. Gorbachev's
foreign policy toward the two Koreas often seemed to be
contradictory
and inconsistent. Incompatible views and interests between
reformers
and conservatives within the Soviet leadership and their relative
power position were largely responsible for this perception.
Moscow-Pyongyang relations gradually deteriorated as Gorbachev's
new
policy placed less emphasis on traditional ideological and military
ties with Pyongyang and more emphasis on economic and political
ties
with Seoul. In late 1990-1991, Soviet Korea policy was
characterized
by an undisguised tilt toward Seoul, often at the expense of
Pyongyang.
Nevertheless, the Soviets did not consider Soviet relations with
the
two Koreas to be a zero-sum game; they sought to forge a formal
political relationship with Seoul without abandoning their
traditional
neighborly ties with Pyongyang. Thus, Gorbachev's new policy toward
the Korean peninsula sought to establish a balanced relationship
with
both Pyongyang and Seoul. At the same time, Gorbachev hoped to play
an
active role in peace and security on the Korean peninsula, which
was
essential to the stability of Northeast Asia and a prerequisite for
the successful implementation of his reform program at home.
The new political thinking, which emphasized national interests and
pragmatism, served as the guiding principle in the pursuit of new
policy. The new political thinking's role in Soviet foreign policy
fluctuated. It initially set new directions and goals for Soviet
foreign policy and led to revolutionary changes in Soviet foreign
relations, including normalization between Moscow and Seoul. As
events
unraveled rapidly in the Soviet Union, the new political thinking
became obsolete and was no longer able to guide Soviet foreign
policy.
In retrospect, Gorbachev's "new political thinking" was
initially
formulated within the context of being the most up-to-date version
of
Leninist ideology. It emerged, first, as a transition from Leninist
ideological epistemology to more traditional modes of cognitive
analysis, and second, as a bridge between the Soviet past and the
post-Soviet future. Once the USSR collapsed into its component
parts,
the last tie with the Leninist legacy was sundered and the
"new
political thinking" automatically lost its reason for
existence and
evaporated. Nobody talks about the "new political
thinking" in the
former Soviet Union any longer, now that thinking in the former
Soviet
Union is no longer constrained by an official ideology. With the
ouster of Gorbachev and the break-up of the USSR, "new
political
thinking" passed into history, but the policies it yielded
continued
to be developed by Boris Yeltsin and the Russian Federation.
NOTES
1. For the new political thinking, see Mikhail Gorbachev,
Perestroika:
New Thinking for Our Country and the World, new and updated ed.
(New
York: Harper & Row, Publishers, 1988), pp. 121-238; Mikhail
Gorbachev,
The August Coup: The Truth and the Lessons (New York: HarperCollins
Publishers, Inc., 1991); Eduard Shevardnadze, The Future Belongs to
Freedom, trans. Catherine A. Fitzpatrick (New York: Free Press,
1991).
2. Shevardnadze recalled how the prospects of the Soviet-American
rapprochement in the first years of Gorbachev's rule led to the
formation of a conservative coalition: "After all, the very
attempt by
the two leaders [Gorbachev and Reagan] to make a quick,
long-distance
gain frightened many people and activated forces that were alarmed
by
a rapprochement between the USSR and the United States" (Eduard
Shevardnadze, The Future Belongs to Freedom, p. 89).
3. Vernon V. Aspaturian, "Soviet Foreign Policy," in Roy
Macridis,
ed., Foreign Policy in Worm Politics: States and Regions, 7th ed.
(Englewood Cliffs, N J: Prentice Hall, 1989), p. 211.
4. Steven L. Burg, "The Soviet Union: Politics and Society in
Flux,"
in Roy C. Macridis, ed., Modern Political Systems: Europe, 7th ed.
(Englewood Cliffs, N J: Prentice Hall, 1990), p. 403.
5. Yegor Ligachev and Victor Chebrikov, two of Gorbachev's
appointees,
were opposed to Gorbachev's "radical" reforms and
espoused a slower
and less extensive approach to reforms. Boris Yeltsin, Gorbachev's
appointee and proponent for "radical" reforms, was
removed from the
post of candidate member of the Politburo after denouncing Ligachev
for obstructing reforms (the so-called "Yeltsin Affair").
Ligachev,
with other like-minded leaders, continued to advance conservative
views on perestroika and the new political thinking and applied a
brake to Gorbachev's reform efforts.
6. Vernon V. Aspaturian, "Soviet Foreign Policy," in Roy
C. Macridis,
ed., Foreign Policy in World Politics: States and Regions, p. 212.
7. Cf. Peter Berton, "The Soviet Union and Korea: Perceptions,
Scholarship, Propaganda," Journal of Northeast Asian Studies
(spring
1986), p. 25. Yu-Nam Kim argued that the Soviet Union as of late
1989
did not have a concrete plan for the Korean question because it had
not established a firm and stable relationship with other major
powers
in East Asia, i.e., the United States, Japan, and China (Yu-Nam
Kim,
"Soryon'ui kugdong kunsa'anbo chungchaekkwa hanbandon'ui anbo,"
Miso
yongu [Seoul], vol. 3 [1989], p. 80).
8. In the atmosphere of U.S.-Soviet detente in the early 1970s, for
the first time the Soviet Union and South Korea made personal
contacts
and exchanges. Nevertheless, Moscow had strictly limited its
relations
with Seoul to an unofficial, nonpolitical level, insisting on
separating politics from economics.
9. For the full text of the Vladivostok speech, see Pravda, July
29,
1986, p. 1; The Current Digest of the Soviet Press, August 27,
1986,
pp. 1-9; "From the Speech by Mikhail Gorbachev in Vladivostok,
July
28, 1986," in Security in the Asia-Pacific Region: Documents
and
Materials (Moscow: Novosti Press Agency Publishing House, 1988),
pp.
16-28.
10. Moscow International Service, May 5, 1988, in FBIS-SOV-88-092,
May
12, 1988, p. 25.
11. Peter Berton, "The Soviet Union and Korea: Perceptions,
Scholarship, Propaganda," p. 22.
12. Beginning with Seoul's participation in the International
Geological Congress held in Moscow in the summer of 1984, exchanges
resumed between South Korea and the Soviet Union that had been
suspended after the Soviets shot down a Korean airliner in
September
1983 (The Korea Times, June 4, 1985, p. 1).
13. Yonhap, November 21, 1986, in FBIS-APA-86-226, November 24,
1986,
p. E8.
14. The Korea Herald, March 13, 1988, p. 1.
15. The Korea Herald, December 12, 1987, p. 1.
16. "Pukbang Tonggye," Pukbang Kyungche (Seoul) (June
1991), p. 154.
17. Soviet relations with North Korea, which had been
"cool" in the
1970s, improved remarkably in the mid-1980s.
18. Kim Il Sung, however, went to Vladivostok in 1966 to meet with
then General Secretary Leonid Brezhnev.
19. Dong-A Ilbo, May 3, 1985, p. 1, in FBIS-APA-85-087, May 6,
1985,
p. El. While visiting Moscow in September 1981, then North Korean
Prime Minister Li Jong-ok requested the delivery of advanced Soviet
MiG-23s, pointing to President Reagan's decision to sell F-16s to
South Korea. Moscow agreed to provide MiG-23s to North Korea on the
condition that Pyongyang grant overflight rights for Soviet
warplanes
and permit installation of Soviet intelligence and communications
equipment in North Korea. Soviet Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail
Kapitsa discussed the sale of MiG-23s, T-72 tanks, and an advanced
combat helicopter with North Korean leaders during his fifteen-day
visit to Pyongyang in November 1984, according to Vastly Matuzok, a
translator at the Soviet Embassy in Pyongyang, who defected to
South
Korea during the Kapitsa visit (Richard Nations, "Militant
Brotherhood--Kim Tilts to Moscow," Far Eastern Economic
Review, June
20, 1985, p. 32).
20. See Richard Nations, "Love Boat to Wonsan," Far
Eastern Economic
Review, August 29, 1985, pp. 22-23.
21. Rajah Menon, "New Thinking and Northeast Asian
Security," Problems
of Communism (March/June 1989), p. 26.
22. Edward Olsen, "Keeping North Korea Out of Soviet
Hands," Far
Eastern Economic Review, May 14, 1987, p. 41.
23. Ibid., pp. 40-41.
24. South China Morning Post, November 1, 1986, p. 1, in
FBIS-AFA-86-213, November 4, 1986, p. D2.
25. Dae-Sook Suh, "Changes in Sino-Soviet Policies Toward
Korea and
Implications for the United States," paper delivered at the
Cato
Institute Conference on the U.S.-South Korean Alliance, The Capitol
Hilton, Washington, DC, June 21, 1990, pp. 12-13.
26. Krasnaya Zvezda, May 12, 1987, in FBIS-SOV-87-096, May 19,
1987,
p. C1.
27. Krasnaya Zvezda, May 9, 1988, p. 5, in FBIS-SOV-88, May 10,
1988,
p. 18.
28. During the conference, Gorbachev attempted without success to
remove the party from day-to-day involvement in government and to
institute in the Soviet system a separation of powers among three
branches of government.
29. In the Central Committee Plenum of September 30, 1988,
Gorbachev
succeeded in removing six holdovers from the Brezhnev era,
including
Andrei Gromyko. Gorbachev also removed his major rival, Igor
Ligachev,
from the influential post of party second secretary. Gorbachev's
emasculation of the party institutions invited sharp criticism from
conservative party members (Alexander Rahr, "Gorbachev Faces
Revolt in
Party Apparatus," Report on the USSR [August 11, 1989], pp.
7-10).
30. For the constitutional changes approved by the Congress of
People's Deputies, see Izvestiya, March 16, 1990.
31. Chart Young Bang, "Prospect of Korean-Soviet Economic
Cooperation
and Its Impact on Security and Stability of the Korean
Peninsula," The
Korean Journal of International Studies, vol. 19, no. 3 (autumn
1990),
pp. 320-321.
32. Mikhail Gorbachev, "Krasnoyarsk Speech," The Current
Digest of the
Soviet Press, vol. 40, no. 38 (October 19, 1988), p. 7.
33. V. Shipayev, "Page Tree Mailbag: From Silence to
Contracts,"
Komsomolskaya Pravda, October 25, 1988, p. 3, in FBIS-SOV-88-209,
October 28, 1988, p. 17.
34. Christian Science Monitor, January 13, 1988, p. 8. As late as
late
1984, the Soviet Union was expressing reservations about its
participation in the upcoming Seoul Olympics. On November 19, 1984,
in
the first public criticism, M. Gramov, president of the Soviet
National Olympic Committee, told a delegation of Japanese members
of
Parliament that South Korea was an inappropriate site for the
Olympics
because of the U.S. troop presence and CIA operations in the
country.
He also opposed Seoul's hosting of the 1988 Olympics by citing
threats
made by terrorists against Soviet athletes (Therese Orbrecht,
"Breaking the Ice," Far Eastern Economic Review, April
11, 1985, p.
17).
35. The Soviet decision was reportedly made by the communist
party's
ruling Politburo after Gorbachev's visit to Washington in December
1987 (Christian Science Monitor, January 13, 1988, p 8).
36. Cf. James W. Riordan, "Korea-Soviet Relations," Korea
& World
Affairs, vol. 12, no. 4 (winter 1988), pp. 759-762; George F.
Kunadze,
"USSR-ROK: Agenda for the Future," in ROK-USSR
Cooperation in the New
International Environment (Seoul, Korea: Institute of Foreign
Affairs
and National Security, 1991), p. 82.
37. James W. Riordan, "Korea-Soviet Relations," p. 776.
38. This decision drew criticism from the Soviet government organ,
Izvestiya. See The Korea Times, September 15, 1988, p. 7, in
FBIS-SOV-88-180, September 16, 1988, p. 12.
39. Washington Post, September 11, 1988; New York Times, September
14,
1988. According to Valeri Nazarov, head of the USSR Chamber of
Commerce and Industry, the practical work of establishing trade and
economic ties between the Soviet Union and South Korea began after
Gorbachev's speech in Krasnoyarsk (Moscow Domestic Service, April
3,
1989, in FBIS-SOV-89-064, April 5, 1989, p. 18).
40. Tokyo NHK General Television Network, January 4, 1989, in
FBIS-SOV-89-003, January 5, 1989, p. 11.
41. The question of Kim's planned Moscow visit was discussed in
October 1988 in the Central Committee of the CPSU. Two questions
were
raised at the Central Committee: what format and procedure should
be
taken to invite a politician from a country that had no diplomatic
relations with the USSR; and, what benefits and losses would result
from an invitation to Kim? The Kremlin decided that Kim would not
be
invited by the Soviet government or the CPSU, but by a research
institute involved in Soviet foreign policy, the IMEMO (Tong'il
Minchu
Tang [Reunification Democratic Party], Pyonghwa'wa tongil'ui
yomyon'eul an'go [Seoul, 1989], pp. 16-18).
42. The Soviet side simply stated that Seoul-Moscow normalization
would take place in the near future (interview with Chung Jae Moon
[then South Korea's Parliamentarian, and Kim Young Sam's confidante
who was sent to Moscow as Kim Young Sam's secret envoy on several
occasions to prepare for Kim's Moseow visits] in June 1991 in
Seoul).
43. Yonhap, March 23, 1990, in FBIS-SOV-90-057, March 23, 1990, pp.
10-11.
44. The ruling party (Democratic Justice party) and two opposition
parties (Reunification Democratic party and New Democratic
Republican
party) merged into the Democratic Liberal party (DLP) in January
1990.
45. See Minchucha'yutang [Democratic Liberal party], Hanbando
tong'ilgwa sekae'pyonghwa'ui yomwon'ul an'go [In Pursuit of Korean
Unification and World Peace](Seoul, April 1990), p. 4.
46. For South Korea's Nordpolitik, see Seung-Ho Joo, "South
Korea's
Nordpolitik and the Soviet Union (Russia)," The Journal of
East Asian
Affairs, vol. 7, no. 2 (summer-fall 1993), pp. 404-450.
47. In addition, U.S.-Soviet detente, Sino-Soviet normalization,
and
the ongoing inter-Korean dialogue all provided favorable conditions
for Moscow-Seoul normalization.
48. Tong'il Minchu Tang (Reunification Democratic party),
Pyonghwa'wa
tongil'ui yomyon'eul an'go [In Search of Korean Unification and
World
Peace], pp. 17-18.
49. Yakovlev made this statement during his talk with Kim Young Sam
in
March 1990 (Dong-A Ilbo [New York Edition], March 24, 1990).
50. Joachim Glaubitz, "The Soviet Union and the Korean
Peninsula,"
Aussenpolitik (Hamburg), vol. 43, no. 1 (1992), pp. 83-84.
51. President Andrei Gromyko's scheduled visit to Pyongyang in
September 1988 was canceled at the last minute, and KGB Chief
Chebrikov came to Pyongyang as his substitute to the dismay of
North
Koreans (Tokyo, Kyodo in English, in FBIS-SOV, September 12, 1988,
p.
23).
52. Pravda, September 9, 1988, p. 1, in FBIS-SOV-88-175, September
9,
1988, p. 18.
53. Izvestiya, January 5, 1989, in FBIS-SOV-89-006, January 10,
1989,
pp. 20-21.
54. Vasily V. Mikheev, "A Korean Settlement: New Political
Thinking
vs. Old Ambitions," Korea & World Affairs (winter 1989),
p. 677.
55. Moscow Television Service, October 1, 1990, in FBIS-SOV-90-191,
October 2, 1990, p. 19; Eduard Shevardnadze, The Future Belongs to
Freedom, p. 164. According to Vladimir O. Rakhmanin, who
accompanied
Shevardnadze on the Pyongyang trip, the North Koreans expressed
their
intent to manufacture nuclear weapons clearly during the talks
(interview with Rakhmanin in January 1993 at The Pennsylvania State
University).
56. Andrey Pichugin, Mosckovskiye Novosti, Moscow International
Service, September 13, 1990, in FBIS-SOV-90-179, September 14,
1990,
p. 10.
57. Mikhail L. Titarenko, "New Trends in Asian-Pacific
International
Situation and their Impacts on Soviet-South Korean Relations,"
Sino-Soviet Affairs, vol. 14, no. 2 (summer 1990), p. 22; Dae-Sook
Suh, "Changes in Sino-Soviet Policies Toward Korea and
Implications
for the United States," pp. 12-13.
58. Parris Chang, "Sino-Soviet Rivalry in Korea," in
William J.
Taylor, Jr. el al, eds. The Korean Peninsula (Boulder, CO: Westview
Press, 1990), p. 168.
59. See "Mikhail Gorbachev Interviewed in Munich," RFE/RL
Research
Report, vol. 1, no. 12 (March 19, 1992), p. 55.
60. For the role of the conservatives in Soviet foreign policy, see
Suzanne Crow, "The Twilight of All-Union Diplomacy," RFE/RL
Research
Report, vol. 1, no. 1 (January 3, 1992).
61. For the full text of the joint communique issued at the Moscow
summit, see Pravda, December 15, 1990, pp. 1, 5, in
FBIS-SOV-90-243,
December 18, 1990, pp. 16-18.
62. New York Times, April 21, 1991; Chosun Ilbo (New York Edition),
April 22, 1991, p. 1.
63. Seoul KBS-1 Television Network in Korean, April 20, 1991, in
FBIS-EAS-91-077, April 22, 1991, pp. 21-22.
64. Valery Denisov, "The Problem of Nuclear Nonproliferation
in
Korea," International Affairs (Moscow) (8.1994), p. 35. For
North
Korea's nuclear program, see Tae-Hwan Kwak and Seung-Ho Joo,
"The
Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula: Problems and
Prospects,"
Arms Control (London), vol. 14, no. 2 (August 1993), pp. 65-92.
65. Chosun Ilbo, October 3, 1991, p. 31. Yielding to mounting
international pressure, North Korea belatedly signed the safeguards
agreement in January 1992, six years after signing the NPT.
Differences over the issue of the IAEA inspection of two suspected
nuclear waste sites in North Korea led to heightened tensions in
Korea
and in Northeast Asia in 1993-1994. Finally, U.S.-North Korea
high-level talks in Geneva resulted in a compromise solution to the
North Korea nuclear issue on October 21, 1994. Thereby, North Korea
pledged to totally abandon its suspected nuclear weapons program in
exchange for economic and technical assistance, including the
construction of two light water nuclear reactors (LWR), and
improved
relations with the United States. Cf. Michael R. Gordon,
"US-North
Korea Accord Has a 10-Year Timetable;" and Alan Riding,
"US and NK
Sign Atom Pact," New York Times, October 22, 1994.
66. Byung-joon Ahn, "Soviet-South Korean Relations,"
Asian Survey,
vol. 31, no. 9 (September 1991), p. 822.
67. The heavy debt partly resulted from North Korea's arms imports
from the USSR. In the late 1970s and early 1980s, North Korea
purchased an average of $200 million worth of military hardware
from
the Soviet Union annually, but since the mid-1980s the amount
increased to $400 million with an accumulated total of more than $3
billion for the decade (Far Eastern Economic Review, May 23, 1991,
p.
17).
68. The Korea Times, October 19, 1991, p. 2, in FBIS-EAS-91-204,
October 22, 1991, p. 22.
69. Article 1 of the Treaty of Friendship, Co-operation and Mutual
Assistance Between the USSR and the DPRK stipulates: "Should
either of
the Contracting Parties suffer armed attack by any State or
coalition
of States and thus find itself in a state of war, the other
Contracting Party shall immediately extend military and other
assistance with all the means at its disposal."
70. Joachim Glaubitz, "The Soviet Union and the Korean
Peninsula," p.
90.
71. Yonhap, December 24, 1991, in FBIS-EAS-91-247, December 24,
1991,
p. 19.
72. In July 1992 the Russian Foreign Ministry announced its
intention
not to repeal the Pyongyang-Moscow treaty, and harshly criticized
Seoul's pressure on Russia to rescind it. The Russian Foreign
Ministry's announcement came in response to the South Korean
Defense
Ministry's demand in early July to abrogate the 1961
Moscow-Pyongyang
treaty (Izvestiya, July 31, 1992, p. 6; Chosun Ilbo, July 30,
1992).
Subsequently, the treaty was extended for another five years.
73. Seoul KBS-1 Television Network, November 6, 1991, in
FBIS-EAS-91-217, p. 28.
74. Moscow International Service in Korean, January 24, 1991, in
FBIS-SOV-91-020, January 30, 1991.
75. Vastly Mikheyev, "New Soviet Approaches to North
Korea," Korea &
World Affairs, vol. 15, no. 3 (fall 1991), pp. 447-448.
~~~~~~~~
By Seung-Ho Joo
Seung-Ho Joo is an assistant professor in the Political Science
Department at the University of Minnesota--Duluth.