FEBRUARY 22, 2000
Is Lumenon's Share Price Set to Soar?
The Next Intel?
By Peter Heywood
Investors in
Lumenon Innovative Lightwave Technology Inc.a company aiming to be "the Intel of optical integrated circuits" -- are hoping to
see its share price shoot skyward in the next few weeks. They say
breakthroughs are imminent that could lead to Lumenon being the next optical
component vendor to see its market cap soar to many billions of dollars.
On the marketing front, Lumenon is planning to demonstrate rapid progress
toward developing a low-cost way of manufacturing optical integrated circuits at
the
Optical Fiber Communication (OFC)conference in early March 2000Specifically, it will show some DWDM (dense wave division multiplexing) chips
made with its "Phasic Hybrid Sol-Gel Glass" technology. In this process, silicon
substrate is coated with a polymer and then circuitry is imprinted on it by placing
it under a mask and blasting it with ultraviolet light.
The DWDM chips that Lumenon will be showing will enable equipment vendors to
pack a lot of wavelengths into a single fiber, because they support a spacing
between wavelengths of 50 Gigahertz (Ghz), according to Reginald Ross, the
company's vice president of corporate development.
Although that sort of wavelength spacing is state of the art for DWDM, Lumenon
is demonstrating the chips at OFC for another reason --to underscore how quickly
manufacturing facilities can be built when using its technology. The one-year-old
company is spending about $20 million building a plant that is expected to make
500 optical devices a day when it goes into production next year. In comparison,
semiconductor foundries have much higher capacity, but they take two or three
years to build and require an investment of $1-2 billion, according to Ross.
Moreover, semiconductor foundries need thousands of skilled workers, while
Lumenon's factory has 250, the majority of whom are semi-skilled.
Ross says Lumenon's production process also results in very short development
cycles. "It's a matter of days between getting a new design and having the silicon
product in our hands," he says.
Financial Front
On the financial front, Lumenon appears close to solving some problems that
have kept its share price in the doldrums since last December. It had risen
rapidly from 25 cents to $42 in a matter of 11 months, but then it bumped down
to between $20 and $25, where it's oscillated ever since.
The fundamental problem was that regulations covering trading on NASDAQ's
Over The Counter Bulletin Board (OTC BB) were tightened up and Lumenon,
along with a lot of other companies listed on the Board, had to register new
documents with the Securities Exchange Commission. Getting approval of these
documents has been a long winded process, partly because the SEC has been
swamped with work and partly because Lumenon's massive increase in market
capitalization led to the SEC going over its documents with a fine tooth comb.
While this has been sorted out, Lumenon's listing on the OTC BB has been
suspended and the only way of trading shares has been via the unauthorized
"pink sheet" market. As a result, it discouraged a lot of reputable investors.
Further, Lumenon's stock price has been buffeted by rumor mongering among
chat groups.
Lumenon has filed the latest revision to its documents to the SEC last Friday
(Feb 18) and thinks it's close to getting approval. "We're working with the SEC to
tidy up the last details," says Ross. Once it gets approval, trading will
recommence on the OTC BB within a few days. Lumonen plans to apply for a
listing on NASDAQ's main board as soon as this takes place.