
Mafia mayhem 1AC

Obs 1)	Mafia cannot be stopped in status quo

A) The FCPA currently allows bribery of US businesses

Scott P. Boylan, FORDHAM INTERNATIONAL LAW JOURNAL
WEBSITE, www.mac.doc.gov/bisnis/country/ruscrime.htm, 1996

The United States currently has the means to combat the payment of bribes by U.S. citizens to corrupt Russian Government officials through the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA).[24] Unfortunately, U.S. officials have failed to vigorously enforce this legal mechanism vis-a-vis corrupt practices in Russia and the former Soviet Union.

B) Clinton will not fight the mafya

[Washington Times. (c) 1997 IGNORING RUSSIA'S CRISIS OF CRIME]

Clinton said that if Russia continues on its present course "we will see more good things ahead." Did the president inadvertently give Russia's organized crime syndicates a green light? Knowledgeable Russian voices are saying that the United States, by not facing facts about today's Russia, is creating the climate for the further criminalization of the state.

PLAN:  Because my partner and I stand Resolved: that the federal government should substantially change its foreign policy toward Russia, we advocate the following plan

Mandate one)	Ban bribes to the Russian Mafia by US businesses.  The penelty will be a fine of ten times the amount of money involved in the bribe.  Effectively enforce the FCPA.

Mandate two)	Launch an anti-crime campaign with the Russians against the Russian mafia.

Mandate three)	Funding will be by an annual raffle in which the winner will have his or her income taxes cancelled for that year.  Tickets will be five dollars.  Funds will be directed to the FCPA and the anti-crime campaign.

Mandate four)	Enforcement through normal means

Aff reserves the right to clarify intent in later speeches

Advantage) A safer world

Scenario one is Prolif

	A)	Globalization of the Russian Mafia poses Threat of World Proliferation

Borchgrave, 97 (senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington DC, and editor at large of the Washington Times. Organized Crime's Global Shadow, Vol. 12, The World & I, Feb 1, p.48)

While this demoralized and ill-equipped fighting force poses no real threat to the United States, its desperate need for money does. The lucrative sale of arms and materiel for weapons of mass destruction is quite obviously continuing despite protests from the U.S. and other countries. And the danger of proliferation seems ever more realistic, given the globalization of the Russian Mafia 

B)	Prolif is Greatest Risk of Nuclear War

Christopher, 94 (Warren, Sec. Of State, VITAL SPEECHES, Vol 60, No. 6, 1994, p.162)

Nuclear weapons give rogue states disproportionate power, destabilize entire regions, and threaten human and environmental disasters.  They can turn local conflicts into serious threats to our security.  In this era, weapons of mass destruction are more readily available - and there are fewer inhibitions on their use.

C) ='s Death and Environmental Disaster

Caldicott, 94 (Helen R., Founder of Physicians for Social Responsibility, Nuclear Madness, p.110)

Erupting with great suddenness, a nuclear war would probably be over within a few hours.  Several hundred to several thousand nuclear bombs would explode over civilian and military targets in the United States (every American city with a population of 25,000 or more may well still be targeted despite the end of the cold war), and an equal or greater number of bombs would strike principle targets in Europe, the Confederation of Independent States, and China ( the latter two countries are still targeted by the United States).  Both major and minor population centers would be smashed flat.  Each weapon's powerful shockwave would be accompanied by a searing fire ball with a surface temperature hotter than the sun's that would set fire storms raging over millions of acres. (Every 20-megaton bomb can set afire storm raging over three thousand acres.  A 1,000-megaton explosion in outer space could devastate an area the size of six western US states.) The fires would sear the earth, consuming most plant and wild life.  Some experts believe that the heat released might melt the polar ice caps, flooding most of the planet.  Destruction of the earth's atmospheric ozone layer by rapid production of nitrous oxide would result in increased exposure to cosmic and ultraviolet radiation.

Scenario two is Economic Stability

A) RUSSIAN MAFIA CONTROLS MORE THAN 40% OF ENTIRE RUSSIAN ECONOMY

OMICINSKI, 97 (John, Russian Mafia controls nearly half of economy, report says., Gannett News Service, March 20)
[Louise Shelley, American University law professor]

The Russian Mafia controls almost half of the Russian economy, far more than previously estimated, says a new American report published by the World Bank.  "Amassing private property even before the collapse of the Soviet state, the Russian Mafia now controls more than 40 percent of the total economy. In some sectors, such as consumer markets, real estate and banking, their role is even greater.''

B) Organized crime is the biggest threat to Russian Stability

Shabalin in 95 [Victor Shabalin, J.L. Albini, R.E. Rogers; The New Stage of The Fight Against Organized Crime In Russia]
Organized crime has become the most important political problem in Russia. It threatens to damage the unstable political, economic, and social systems by means of corruption and violence. It has created a situation where there is no guarantee of the Russian citizen's personal safety.
	
C) ='s Nuclear War and Environmental Disaster

Simes, 94 (Dimitri Senio Associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Foreign Affairs, January, 1994/February, 1994, "The Return of Russian History")

Stability is important for a nation with thousands of nuclear weapons and continuing territorial tensions with its newly independent neighbors.  Too much disunity in Russia increases the likelihood of a civil war that could easily engulf most, if not all of the post-Soviet states, creating not only nuclear and environmental disasters but a grave threat to world peace as well.

D) ='s Death and Envrionmental Disaster - Extend "Caldicott in 94"  from Prolif Adv.

Scenario three is Democracy

A) RUSSIAN MAFIA DESTROYING RUSSIAN DEMOCRACY AND ECONOMY

OMICINSKI, 97 (John, Russian Mafia controls nearly half of economy, report says., Gannett News Service, March 20)

The Russian Mafia is devastating the country's infant democracy and its struggling capitalism, says Louise Shelley, an American University law professor whose upcoming book, "Stealing the Russian State,'' details her findings.
The Russian version of organized crime was more powerful than most, she reported, in that it controls large portions of the legitimate and illegitimate economies at the same time.

B) Democracy is necessary for Human Rights

Bureau of Inter-American Affairs, March 1987:  (DEPARTMENT OF STATE BULLETIN, p.70)

Democracy also advances important US political and economic interests.  Democratic countries are more likely to protect human rights and create environments in which people can work to achieve their full potential.

C) Democracy is Key to stability

Margret Hayes, Staff, Senate Committee on Foreign Affairs, 1984:  (LATIN AMERICA AND THE US NATIONAL INTEREST, p.14)

In devising policies that encourage political stability in its sphere of concern, the United States must walk a fine lime between supporting governments that are capable of ruling and those that can only rule by excluding, eliminating, or repressing opposition voices.  We should not be satisfied with imitations of democracy, whether form the right of from the left.

D) Instability ='s Nuclear War and Environmental Disaster

Extend "Simes in 94" card form the Economic Advantage

E) ='s Death and Environmental Disaster

Extend "Caldicott in 94" form Prolif Advantage
